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Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Nov 07, 2017 at 08:12
When you see inconsistent data, like big loss or big wins, check the reports. Average win/loss draw-down.
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Nov 07, 2017 at 08:09
If you get a bad test with any set, verify against high draw down pairs. If drawdown has since increased roll back to better set.You may want to do a diff on the set files to find the differences the maybe causing the issue.
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Nov 07, 2017 at 08:09
Optimization process- This for now I believe is the final process.Back tests must be done with tick data with a realist spread 10 for ICMarketsFirst use default settings on all pairs.Find the pair with the worse draw-down and optimist with the 2 most significant parameters.Use formula (trades x profit x profit_factor)/drawdown as a number.Only really need to have 2-4 steps per-parameter.Then go through every pair optimizing a parameter, no more then 4 steps, as a rule I generally do 3.Also if there is no significant difference discard. Then test on each pair and find pairs with no major losse...
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Nov 06, 2017 at 07:46
New strategy. Align with weekly news.No optimizations or at least very few.Will just run on 3 years of data and ensure there were no major losses. We will use this info to gauge back testing.2. Then we run on the last year to 3 months to see which per it is currently running the best on.Use only default settings. 1.5 multiplier with 15 levels. This is far quicker to test anyway.Also we do not want to trade related pairs.For example. USDJPY and USDCAD in the same direction. They can trade in the opposite direction like a hedge but will limit to 4 pairs so that will not be an issue.for ex...
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Nov 01, 2017 at 07:27
Things I learn in the past few monthsHedging when in news and the price goes against you.Test on a cent account.100 is 10kBe careful after news. Some times a long continues trend is just as dangerous and fast.Make sure to only trade when that pair has no news for the following week. Or at least identified with my news analysis. Once stuck its hard to get out.
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Nov 01, 2017 at 07:26
Notes on drawdown, optimisations and back tests.All back test must be done with 99% tickdata, which can be time consuming to download.Step one optional.Optimise the last year. Try not to make too many changes try and keep as generic as possible. In general the more levels the more likely it works in real life given enough balance.For example 15 levels at 1.5 multiplier with 100000 is a lot more likely to work than 10 levels at 1 with a 1000. Over time it will not work.I believe the minimum balance for a martingale is important.I believe 22k is the right amount. Sometimes a system will draw...
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Oct 31, 2017 at 08:55
Also avoid news if anything for the week. Its hard to get out of it if you get caught on the bad side of it. I suppose its a balance. You just wouldnt trade that often if you keep avoiding news. I suppose that's why it good to know which events are more likely to have a bite to them.
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Oct 31, 2017 at 08:55
Had my first decent draw-down today. I think I got back into jpy too soon after the election. It wasn't a strong trend down but a slow drawn out one. Note to self.
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Oct 22, 2017 at 14:08
Final News list.This has been refined to 75 pip movement 1 hour after news.These tests were done using gmt time for more accurancyIt also looked at the high low, instead of open close.The results were significantly more consistent, having more of the events coming up a lot more times. AUD(Australia) RBA Interest Rate Decision(Australia) Unemployment Rate s.a.(Australia) Employment Change s.a.(Australia) Consumer Price Index (YoY)(Australia) RBA Rate Statement(Australia) RBA Meeting's Minutes(Australia) RBA trimmed mean CPI (QoQ)(Australia) RBA trimmed mean CPI (YoY)(Australia) Consumer Pr...
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Oct 20, 2017 at 09:06
Other events to avoid.Geopolitical news such as warNatural disastersPolitical unrestElectionsStock Market indices DOW etc
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Oct 13, 2017 at 09:10
Latest version is live and running in production.
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Oct 13, 2017 at 09:09
Here is the back tests for the last set files.https://s3.ap-south-1.amazonaws.com/www.slowlikepanda.com/combine-10102017.htmlhttps://s3.ap-south-1.amazonaws.com/www.slowlikepanda.com/audnzd-12102017-auto.htmhttps://s3.ap-south-1.amazonaws.com/www.slowlikepanda.com/audnzd6_months_forward.htmhttps://s3.ap-south-1.amazonaws.com/www.slowlikepanda.com/chfjpy-12102017-auto.htmhttps://s3.ap-south-1.amazonaws.com/www.slowlikepanda.com/chfjpy6_months_forward.htmhttps://s3.ap-south-1.amazonaws.com/www.slowlikepanda.com/eurusd-12102017-auto.htmhttps://s3.ap-south-1.amazonaws.com/www.slowlikepanda.com/eur...
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Oct 12, 2017 at 14:50
Latest set files doneEurusdAudnzdChfjpyGbpcad
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Oct 11, 2017 at 06:30
All news which has cause a daily 175 pip change since 2007USD(United States) ADP Employment Change(United States) Bank Stress Test Info(United States) Building Permits Change(United States) Building Permits (MoM)(United States) Consumer Confidence(United States) Consumer Credit Change(United States) Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (MoM)(United States) Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY)(United States) Consumer Price Index (MoM)(United States) Consumer Price Index (YoY)(United States) Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Price Index (MoM)(United States) Core Per...
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Oct 11, 2017 at 06:29
Important USD news events to watch out for 200 pips plus daily move going back to 2007:(United States) ADP Employment Change(United States) Bank Stress Test Info(United States) Building Permits Change(United States) Building Permits (MoM)(United States) Consumer Confidence(United States) Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (MoM)(United States) Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY)(United States) Consumer Price Index (MoM)(United States) Consumer Price Index (YoY)(United States) Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Price Index (MoM)(United States) Core Personal Consum...
Gerard Ngawati - Marty
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Oct 10, 2017 at 06:38
added new set files for eurusd and gbpcad. Still need to include audjpy and nzdchf.
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