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30 Stop Loss vs 60 Take Profit No Martingale - 60% returns Montly - 3% DD
v
Obecné
Jan 14, 2016 at 13:34
You are welcome! 😄I am willing to forward test your EA on a $1k real live IC Markets account, which you could use as a verified "showcase account" to attract investors. Of course, test is over when DD exceeds -5%.Deal...?
Mixed strategy
v
Obchodní systémy
Jan 14, 2016 at 07:19
...
30 Stop Loss vs 60 Take Profit No Martingale - 60% returns Montly - 3% DD
v
Obecné
Jan 14, 2016 at 07:16
History is VERY LIMITED (just 4 days!). If you had 1 Million Dollars probably you would not give it away for management with the shown 4 days trade history. Correct?In addition, DEMO accounts carry no weight and have limited credibility, so I suggest opening a small REAL account at a reputable broker and run a live forward test for a few months. (If you have no "skin" in the game, how would you expect investors to risk their hard earned monies...?) Also, backtests are almost useless, as they can be "curve fitted".Should your promise (+10% monthly profit with max. 3% DD) mat...
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 22, 2015 at 00:23
The bottom line: Since there is no single loss in trade history it is simply impossible tell where is the "hidden" stop loss. If there was a SL at all...The DD in the above provided example was -5.7% so the SL is definitely more than -5%.
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 21, 2015 at 13:39
@wernerdj7 As mentioned, what really concerns me is the fact that there not a single stop loss. It means that the EA might follow a "Win or Die" strategy, so the entire account is at risk.As the enclosed screenshot confirms, the shown trade went into -26.9 pips DD with 10 lots, so the DD was -2577 USD... (Interestingly the trader has withdrawn 3500 USD profit right after this SCARY trade.)But what if the price had gone against the trade by another -100 or -200 pips without looking back...?? It is simple: Margin Call and crash of the account.You can see it yourself if you hover your m...
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 21, 2015 at 12:32
@wernerdj7 Please see my edited post above.To answer your question: "a p-value helps you determine the significance of results". When sample size is low, its "p-value" is high, which means that the results COULD BE due to randomness (but not necessarily), and so they have less reliability.
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 21, 2015 at 12:21
Due to the low number of trades - only 107 - the statistical "p value" of the results is not that good. In other words: there is still a good chance of "random success" (at least statistically). Also, from the pip-by-pip trade analyses of the recent trades it can be seen that a "Hope & Pray" element is involved. The trader enters with large lot sizes and allows significant intra-trade DD, then exits at "breakeven" with a sigh of releif. I am alawys worried when I don't see losses, as I don't know the "downside" of the strategy. It c...
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 21, 2015 at 11:44
PLEASE READ TITLE: 100% return a MONTH with a DD below 50%.
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 21, 2015 at 10:04
@HolyGrailPTY Is it you, Alexis?
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 21, 2015 at 07:57
Well said.
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 21, 2015 at 07:57
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 21, 2015 at 07:22
What do you mean...?
Opening a New Real Account: Best Broker to Choose
v
Noví obchodníci
Dec 21, 2015 at 03:41
@snapdragon1970 Well said. Thank you for the clarification and the additional information!
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 21, 2015 at 01:14
@hermonysystem Again, the "problem" is that all the profits are exactly 5.0 pips and the losses are exactly -15.0 pips on all 800+ trades.There is NO WAY, that at least some trades of the 800+ would not get even a +/- 0.1 pip slippage, in other words some trades should be +5.1 pips or +4.9 pips, and some losses would be -15.1 pips or -14.9 pips. At least.As some slippage DOES happen on demo accounts, too.In summary: the pip results are just "too nicely rounded" and therefore irrealistic, i.e. they carry the hallmark of carefully HANDCRAFTED results. Got it...?
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 20, 2015 at 10:16
@hermonysystem I am not sure what is your motivation here, but your results are falsified.What the "problem" is that all 832 trades over a one week period have EXACTLY either +5.0 pips profits or -15.0 losses.The issue is with the "zeros". THERE IS NO WAY that IC Markets had not slipped even 0.1 pip (+ or -) on ANY OF THE 832 trades, even in demo mode. Furthermore there is no way that ANY broker would not slip even 0.1 pip (+/-) over 800+ trades.In other words:1. Your results are HANDCRAFTED.2. You falsly name your broker as ICM.In other words you are a SCAMMER.http://www.m...
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
v
Obecné
Dec 20, 2015 at 01:37
5% average monthly profit for at least 2 years (with less than 25% max. DD)
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Dec 17, 2015 at 12:39
@Mthiya Exactly... I would not bother forward testing them. If they were REALLY profitable they would be selling their signals on SignalStart or on ConnectForex.By the way, there is no one strategy on SignalStart or ConnectForex which I would use WITH CONFIDENCE on a larger account. Why? Because even the best signals use one of the two following trading styles: "Grids" or "Hope & Pray".
5% average monthly profit for at least 2 years (with less than 25% max. DD)
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Dec 17, 2015 at 12:10
@Mthiya Interesting free signal service. Strangely, they don't indicate at what price level the actual LIVE orders were initiated, and there is no track record of the closed orders whatsoever.In view of the above it is practically impossible to make any evaluation of the signals (unless I miss something).P.S. Apparently the Premium version offers sound and e-mail alerts:http://www.fxmarketleaders.com/forexsignals/premiumaccountop
5% average monthly profit for at least 2 years (with less than 25% max. DD)
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Dec 17, 2015 at 07:44
@Lordgert I have concluded a long time ago that #1 you mentioned is the answer: "There are no profitable traders on myFxbook. Or at least not ones who bother with forums."Also, I have to assume that there are more Lottery Millionaires in the world than Forex Millionaires...Which fact - if correct - clearly shows the statistical chances of becoming rich or even wealthy by trading Forex...
5% average monthly profit for at least 2 years (with less than 25% max. DD)
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Dec 17, 2015 at 07:41
Sometimes postings are published with some delay. I don't think that anybody would intentionally manipulate with the posts...
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