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"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jul 02, 2012 at 10:35
manufacturing news surely propped gbp
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jul 02, 2012 at 10:31
I only think that I should have opened trades with smaller risk., but as I am in I will keep it this way. next time speculative trades will risk only 0.5% . outside of usd/chf short, the rest was speculative trades. ema's have not crossed.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jul 02, 2012 at 10:30
yep, I had reason to short those pairs. not a strong trends and double tops, failures to make new highs on good news.yeah, I can lose 4-5%, but if I am right and there is trend reversal I can get considerably more than that. plus, I am not sure each yen pair will make same moves. I think that ability to let profits run and get onto big move is more important. I am planning to take profits differently if I am right.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jul 02, 2012 at 06:15
just opened a number of short trades. these are a bit speculative.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jul 01, 2012 at 15:18
Yeah, the week gonna be interesting. The most important how the market will receive all thos enews because it is possible everything has been absorbed by now and is in the current price.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jul 01, 2012 at 10:35
gbp/aud is breaking support and if my experience counts, after such long consolidation support is not being broken for peanuts...There is probability of pretty big run and nearest suport doe snot matter much anymore.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jul 01, 2012 at 10:33
Yes, for this however I need to keep some substantial chunk of my original position running like with Aud/Jpoy but Gbp/Aud it is a leftover. still money.From my perspective, I probably around 50% hit rate on this if no more. Last even was news induced, but before that I had only 1 real loser which went to my stop loss. usd/jpy. the rest "losers" I just closed myself my stops were not hit. So, I think if I manage trades properly I can compensate for losers many times over.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jul 01, 2012 at 10:30
No hedging. It is trend following/ swing trading not hedging. Such situations are unavoidable. The only thing I must change is a way I am taking profits. probably too early and too little left. hence, I probably need to stop taking profits early and need to leave some bigger part after profit taking to let it run and just trail further away with stop. obviously statistically there are few trends that go without ema's cross for more than 800-1000 pips hence at some point position should be closed completely but cross means another opportunity for full size entry. I already see few pairs I w...
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 30, 2012 at 20:30
i should not have closed 10000 units on gbp/aud.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 30, 2012 at 20:29
these 2 parts seem to me not connected at all. those 2 running trades keep running because the trend is still running. it is according to my plan. they are not running because I expect anyhting but because the trend is still in their direction.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 30, 2012 at 20:23
there is no save a loser part in my plan. there is only cut a loser part.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 30, 2012 at 20:22
Those new trades were fine. entries were perfect and according to plan. the only mistake was to reopen eur/usd and gbp/usd shorts. I consider gbp/usd short which is still opened a loss. I was all in profit when going to bed from 30 to 100 pips on new trades. interestingly, I closed usd/jpy for small loss it did not hit stop loss and now it would be in nice pips up. hence, I am not going to close trades manually unless ema's cross against me.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 30, 2012 at 19:14
Simply put you agree with me regarding managing each trade separately 😉
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 30, 2012 at 14:27
I did not get it but what I meant is that each tarde is separate and is managed separately and I do not close one trade to close loss of another trade cause any running trade can be a big winner. say if aud/jpy gets to 87.00-88.00 level again I would get 4-4.5% on this running position and if gbp/aud gets another 400 pips it would be 1.5-1.6% on remaining position.
stevewalker - Manual Trading
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 30, 2012 at 10:44
Steve, I was reading one guy at Oanda. He back tested 2 ema's against 3 and told 2 ema's show better results.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 30, 2012 at 10:09
as soon as I start trading live I will trade live account with regular hard stops like I have been trading this demo but will use my unrealized profit sparingly to have more chances to profit from developed trend. still first profit will be taken at around 1:1 r:r 0.2% of position. I am making no changes. i am happy with what I see cause I know trends happen and I will be on a lot of them. This demo I will continue trading with slightly different rules. Firstly I will cut position size to 70% of what I used now. second, hard stops will be pretty far away about 2-2.5 daily ATR and will be more...
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 30, 2012 at 01:30
next week more opportunities . there have been few signals to watch for entries. if I get on a few nice trends it would cover everything, but the most important is to follow the plan. I am trasnferring some live funds to my Oanda account so , trades already might get started live next week.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 30, 2012 at 01:26
frankly that was not pleasant view when I got up at 2:00 a.m. est night here to check on trades and saw those huge daily green candles against my short positions. been all green before going to bed. I wonder how some guys trade without stops and big leverage.
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 30, 2012 at 01:24
It's called whipsaw 😁 I got whipped. But I still have a couple of good trades running , let's see where they end and although I see gbp/usd as a loss things happen. aud/jpy was 3 times 3-10 pips from my stop... and it is 250 pips in profit. I was watching to short gbp/jpy but signal did not happen. On my part I did everything right so losses are not bad. The only thing I need to change my profit taking. leave more for later rounds. around 30-50%. I definitely improving. having average winner so many times bigger than average loser and having trades +600 pips. it never happened ...
"Just Oil"
v
Zkušení obchodníci
Jun 29, 2012 at 21:17
note how aud/jpy was missing my stop by few pips 3 times and where it is now.
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