โพสต์ของ Elkart - หน้า 21

Testing-account ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 25, 2010 at 12:29

It's about the nature of change and it's roll in trading and it does not bode well for a grid based on lack of change.

Testing-account ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 25, 2010 at 11:57

I suggest you read this authors work: http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/

stylefx ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 25, 2010 at 09:12

Kebaya,If it's to good to be true it normally is.

VG intraday 5 Pairs Mono ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 25, 2010 at 08:05

Or maybe it was if VG didn't go and cancel my demo...

VG intraday 5 Pairs Mono ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 25, 2010 at 08:02

The obligatory look good system, frozen in time forever. It's not viable.

Testing-account ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 25, 2010 at 07:51

Your system is not viable mate....those open losers are going to come back at ya no matter what you do...

Behemoth Eur/Usd 1 Lot per trade ใน กลยุทธ์ Jun 24, 2010 at 16:56

And I must tell you. I been looking at the HFT stuff recently, and market makers, and I wonder if MT4 is just a really, really clever way of front running every amateur fx trader in the world...Someone fairly recently pointed out to me that we don't really have any idea what MT is sending out. To the point where it's debatable whether the EA's get sent out.

Behemoth Eur/Usd 1 Lot per trade ใน กลยุทธ์ Jun 24, 2010 at 16:43

No back testing, manually or otherwise. I have my idea, we write it, then I run the code as a back test on tick by tick to see if the EA does what it's supposed to do. If it looks roughly right I ignore the results, because there is not foundation in them and then I go live, where most of the time I'll find bugs anyway.I have no idea how many working systems are in the dustbin because of back testing, but I'd bet it's a lot.What I'd rather do is open different MT4 directories on the same server and run them all live demo. Easily have 10 running at a time. I have no interest...

Behemoth Eur/Usd 1 Lot per trade ใน กลยุทธ์ Jun 24, 2010 at 16:11

Just surprised to find you here. Personally I think it does harm to myfxbook, or anyone else that partakes in the section. Only a complete newby or ignoramus would go to the hassle of analyzing a back test. The data it's based on is flawed. Unless you own a bank you just can't do it.Let me tell you a story, when I was getting into automated fx my partner was programming for an engineering company, more to get residency than anything else. We got into developing and the boss of the engineering firm heard of this he decided he was going to have a go, we even had a meeting to see if we co...

Behemoth Eur/Usd 1 Lot per trade ใน กลยุทธ์ Jun 24, 2010 at 15:22

Limitation? They don't even vaguely reflect reality.I must say I completely fail to see the value of the strategy section. To me it's based om something that's fundamentally flawed. All it does is creates confusion and maybe even give back testing some form of credibility. Different machines will give you different results, different processors will give you different results, if you're online or not will give you different results, a different broker will give you different results... I have yet to see a days trading match a back test for the same day.All a load of crock. Onl...

Behemoth Eur/Usd 1 Lot per trade ใน กลยุทธ์ Jun 24, 2010 at 13:59

Bud,Those tests are useless. Even with tick by tick modeling they'll be out many, many percentage points. At best they can be used to see if the code vaguely does what it's supposed to do. It's a complete waste of time.

Your definition of a junk system!? ใน ทั่วไป Jun 24, 2010 at 13:08

You can't look at DD in isolation, if something draws down 30% but does 500% per annum, it's acceptable. Then you can divide trade sizes by 10 and do 3% for 50%.I do agree though, 99% are not viable systems. The locked systems are no good, the negative floats are no good, super performers are no good. If it's to good to be true, then it is indeed to good to be true....And lastly I don't know how people jimmying the system, but clearly they are. You can take nothing at face value here or on any website. Have to have live open access and even then you can get burned. Sometimes pe...

Markets Not Random ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 18, 2010 at 16:57

I was interested in hooking up a time based thing to my pyramiding software. If there is a time based cycle and one can pyramid into it...But I must say, after this conversation I have my doubts. I don't think you're trading what you're punting successfully.Oops, system deleted again...terrible show. Yet I believe there are time based patterns in fx. Just wish I knew where the original info came from. Never seen anything like it in all my years of fx. Very original idea, and definitely has merit to it.

Markets Not Random ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 18, 2010 at 15:27

Bit difficult to control who bids on an e-bay auction. I do believe this was the link: http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=270311866154&_trksid=p3907.m32&_trkparms=tab%3DSelling

Markets Not Random ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 18, 2010 at 14:48

For the love of god, where did I criticize? If it's the $80 bucks thing, well people are going to look at that and wonder. For the so many'th time I said I am so interested in the concept that I investigated it and I saw that there is merit in the idea. I'm not punting anything, so I don't have to prove a result. You are, so you have to. Doesn't help that you delete your results either. All you need to do is prove this concept works and the money will find you. But for that you're going to need coherent results. Doesn't matter if it's on $80 bucks, but there nee...

Markets Not Random ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 18, 2010 at 14:00

Noooo, don't go and edit the thing now....

Markets Not Random ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 18, 2010 at 13:59

Sigh...I'm not looking for a fight and I wasn't criticizing.I'm sure I said I'm very interested in the concept. To the point that your Oanda post made me go have a good look at time based trading. And the results were that there are very strong time based patterns in fx. Certain times of day the same things happen, because the same people get to their desks at the same time and do the same things, which lately has been selling euro's, especially at midnight GMT. I could make systems public and they would look good, but then again I know ultimately they will fail. So there i...

Markets Not Random ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 18, 2010 at 12:56

You've been trying to punt this for years bud. And there were quite a few more points then.http://www2.oanda.com/cgi-bin/msgboard/ultimatebb.cgi?ubb=get_topic;f=16;t=011047" I have no web site and I am not trying to sell anything."http://www.google.co.za/search?hl=en&safe=off&client=firefox-a&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&ei=ImYbTP-0Gpy60gTOh8SSCQ&q=4xis2ez&start=0&sa=NNow why after all these years are we trading $80 bucks?Normally this would be the point where I'd shake my head sadly, but the funny thing is I do believe and have proven that there...

=Tiger 2 EURUSD= ใน กลยุทธ์ Jun 06, 2010 at 20:32

I'm pretty sad to see this happen in fxbook. Now it's open season for the scammers. We're going to have tsunami of crap like this. Real performance will just disappear in all the noise. For the four of you, if there is anybody in here who is not part of this I'll talk to myself group, this is a control point based back test. It has 0% accuracy or value.

Renko Ashi Trading System 2 ใน ระบบการเทรด Jun 05, 2010 at 08:46

IBFX lads....can always go back to Alpari later

EURUSD	1.08441	GBPUSD	1.30434	AUDUSD	0.67118
USDJPY	149.989	USDCAD	1.37931	USDCHF	0.86611

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