ECB Plans New Tool To Tackle Fragmentation Risk In Eurozone

RTTNews | 936 days ago
ECB Plans New Tool To Tackle Fragmentation Risk In Eurozone

(RTTNews) - The European Central Bank said it will be flexible in reinvesting proceeds from the pandemic emergency bonds that are due to mature, and that it will create a new tool to address the fragmentation risk in the euro area after bond yields soared in the past few days, raising concerns of a debt crisis. The Governing Council held an unscheduled meeting on Wednesday to discuss the current market conditions. "The pandemic has left lasting vulnerabilities in the euro area economy which are indeed contributing to the uneven transmission of the normalisation of our monetary policy across jurisdictions," the ECB said in a statement. "Based on this assessment, the Governing Council decided that it will apply flexibility in reinvesting redemptions coming due in the PEPP portfolio, with a view to preserving the functioning of the monetary policy transmission mechanism, a precondition for the ECB to be able to deliver on its price stability mandate."

Further, the ECB said the Governing Council decided to mandate the relevant Eurosystem Committees together with the ECB services to accelerate the completion of the design of a new anti-fragmentation instrument for consideration by policymakers.

Less than a week ago, ECB President Christine Lagarde signaled that the bank was set to raise its key interest rates on July 21. That would be the first such move in 11 years. The Italian 10-year bond yield have been rising ever since, peaking at 4.2 percent on Tuesday, the highest level since early 2014. The yield eased to around 3.8 percent on Wednesday. The closely-watched spread between the Italian and German 10-year bonds yields, which reflects the financial stress in the euro currency bloc, eased to around 2.17 percentage points on Wednesday from a peak of 2.42 percentage points on Tuesday. "The fact that the ECB acted today ahead of a likely 75bp Fed hike is good news," market strategists at ING said. "Details on this new facility are still unknown but the mere fact that one is in the works is encouraging news to peripheral bond holders, and will likely slow the selling flow."

That said, PEPP reinvestments alone would be insufficient to cap sovereign spread widening in a global monetary tightening cycle, and the latest announcement is likely to have only modest implications for the euro, they added. Capital Economics expects spreads to resume their rising trend soon and to widen significantly further this year. The research firm also said the flexibility in PEPP reinvestments probably won't be enough to halt a major sell-off in peripheral bond markets and that ECB policymakers will remain slow to take decisive steps. "Our best guess is that its plan is to discuss the new fragmentation tool at the scheduled July policy meeting" Capital Economics said. "We wouldn't be surprised if, at that point, the Governing Council either fails to reach an agreement or announces only an underwhelming tool with limited firepower."

read more
German Inflation At 11-Month High Unlikely To Worry ECB Policymakers

German Inflation At 11-Month High Unlikely To Worry ECB Policymakers

Consumer price inflation in Germany rose for a third month in a row, and at a faster than expected pace in December, to its highest level in 11 months led by higher food prices and services costs, though policymakers at the European Central Bank are likely to be less concerned at the recent spike in price pressures and press ahead with another interest rate reduction in the next policy session.
RTTNews | 10h 24min ago
Eurozone Economy On The Verge Of Deeper Crisis, Sentix Says

Eurozone Economy On The Verge Of Deeper Crisis, Sentix Says

The euro area economy is in the danger of plunging even deeper into crisis and the room for the European Central Bank for maneuver is diminishing rapidly, the behavioral research institute Sentix said Monday. Eurozone investor confidence sunk to the lowest level since November 2023 with the corresponding index falling to -17.7 in January from -17.5 in December, results of the monthly survey by S
RTTNews | 13h 40min ago
Eurozone Private Sector Shrinks Marginally

Eurozone Private Sector Shrinks Marginally

The euro area private sector contracted only fractionally in December as services activity bounced back, final results of the purchasing managers' survey by S&P Global showed on Monday. The composite output index rose to 49.6 in December from 48.3 in the previous month. The score was slightly above the flash estimate of 49.5.
RTTNews | 14h 57min ago
German Unemployment Increases Less Than Forecast

German Unemployment Increases Less Than Forecast

Unemployment in Germany increased in December albeit at a slower-than-expected pace with the onset of the winter break, official data showed on Friday. The number of jobless increased by 10,000 in December, a bigger increased compared to the 6,000 in November, the Federal Employment Agency reported. Unemployment was forecast to rise by 15,000.
RTTNews | 3 days ago
Eurozone Manufacturing Sector Continues To Shrink

Eurozone Manufacturing Sector Continues To Shrink

The euro area manufacturing sector continued to shrink in December on accelerated contractions in both orders and output, final data compiled by S&P Global showed on Thursday. The HCOB manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index fell slightly to a three-month low of 45.1 in December from 45.2 in November. The flash reading was 45.2.
RTTNews | 4 days ago
German GfK Consumer Sentiment To Rise In January

German GfK Consumer Sentiment To Rise In January

German consumer confidence recovered marginally towards the end of the year and it is forecast to rise again in January, survey data jointly published by the market research group GfK and the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions showed on Thursday. The forward-looking consumer sentiment index posted -21.3 in January, up from -23.1 in December. The score was expected to rise to -22.6.
RTTNews | 18 days ago
Eurozone Inflation Rises Less Than Estimate

Eurozone Inflation Rises Less Than Estimate

Eurozone inflation grew at a slightly slower than initially estimated pace in November, revised data published by Eurostat showed on Wednesday. The harmonized index of consumer prices rose 2.2 percent year-on-year in November, following a 2.0 percent increase in October. The rate was revised down from 2.3 percent.
RTTNews | 19 days ago
German Investor Confidence Highest In 4 Months In December - ZEW

German Investor Confidence Highest In 4 Months In December - ZEW

Economic sentiment in Germany unexpectedly rebounded in December to its highest level in four months as financial market experts turned optimistic on the announcement of snap elections in February next year and the prospect of more interest rate cuts from the European Central Bank, results of a survey by the think tank ZEW showed Tuesday.
RTTNews | 20 days ago