AUDJPY Analysis: The Yen fell again

Fundamental Analysis of AUDJPY

AUDJPY Key Takeaways

US inflation data: US January CPI data exceeded expectations across the board, and short-term interest rate futures traders cut the Fed’s interest rate cut this year to about 26 basis points, and the expected time for the rate cut was postponed to December.

New progress in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict: The US and Ukrainian presidents had a call for about half an hour, and the two sides discussed the possibility of achieving peace between Russia and Ukraine; the US and Russian presidents talked for more than an hour, and Trump said the call was fruitful, and both sides hoped to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and agreed to work closely together.

Powell’s second day of hearing: the latest data shows that inflationary pressures have eased but have not yet achieved the target; there are some concerns about Treasury liquidity; there is still a long way to go to shrink the balance sheet; the Fed may have to adjust interest rates in response to tariff policies; do not want to hinder banks from providing cryptocurrency services to legitimate customers.

Technical Analysis of AUDJPY Daily and Hourly ChartsAUDJPY Daily Chart Insights

(AUDJPY Daily Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)

Stochastic oscillator: The indicator sends a bullish signal below the 50 median line. Yesterday’s fast line rose and broke through the median line, suggesting that short-term bullish forces occupy the upper side.

PA: The exchange rate has a false breakout this week, which clarifies the upward trend, but the exchange rate has now risen to near the key downward trend line. It may face adjustments in the short term. If it effectively breaks through yesterday’s high today, pay attention to 98.72 above, which is also near the green 200-day MA.

AUDJPY 1-hour Chart Analysis(AUDJPY H1 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)

Stochastic oscillator: The indicator sends a short signal and forms a top divergence with the exchange rate. Be alert to the downward adjustment of the exchange rate during the Asian session.

Support area: The upward trend of the exchange rate in the first half of the week is complete. If there is an adjustment during the pressure period, the first target below is to look at the lower edge of the fair value gap FVG, and the second target is to look at the black 65 MA.

Pivot Indicator Insights for AUDJPY(AUDJPY M30 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets APP)

According to Pivot Indicator in Ultima Markets APP, the central price of the day is established at 96.51,

Bullish Scenario: Bullish sentiment prevails above 96.51, first target 97.48, second target 97.75;

Bearish Outlook: In a bearish scenario below 96.51, first target 96.06, second target 95.78.

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