EUR/USD Plunges Following Fed's Decision on Interest Rate Cuts

The EUR/USD pair soared to a weekly high of 1.0933 on Thursday following the Federal Reserve System's announcement of three interest rate cuts planned for 2024. These adjustments will reduce borrowing costs by 75 basis points.
RoboForex | 253 일 전

By RoboForex Analytical Department

The EUR/USD pair soared to a weekly high of 1.0933 on Thursday following the Federal Reserve System's announcement of three interest rate cuts planned for 2024. These adjustments will reduce borrowing costs by 75 basis points.

The interest rate remains at 5.5% annually, its highest in 23 years, and has been unchanged for five consecutive meetings.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noted that the regulator plans to reduce the rate this year, likely achieving a 75-basis point reduction over three stages by the end of 2024.

The Fed also continues its balance sheet contraction plan, not reinvesting proceeds from matured bonds and having no plans to sell bonds from its portfolio.

The Fed's outlook was relatively optimistic this time, expecting the American economy to grow by 2.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2024. Although the Consumer Price Index is decreasing, it is still high, and the employment market is strong due to new job creation.

The Fed's inflation target remains at 2%, with risks to expectations seen as balanced.

EUR/USD technical analysis

Influenced by the news, the H4 EUR/USD chart found support at 1.0836, leading to a correction. Today, the price is anticipated to reach 1.0944, followed by a subsequent downward movement targeting 1.0818. The MACD indicator supports this scenario, with its signal line below zero, indicating further declines to new lows.                

On the H1 EUR/USD chart, a corrective growth structure towards 1.0940 has formed. After reaching this level, a decline to 1.0888 is possible, followed by a potential rise to 1.0944. Then, a new downward wave to 1.0818, the first target, may begin. The Stochastic oscillator, with its signal line below 50, indicates a continuation of the decline towards 20.

Disclaimer: Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author's particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

read more
Japanese Yen Strong on Heighten Likelihood of BoJ Rate Hike

Japanese Yen Strong on Heighten Likelihood of BoJ Rate Hike

The Japanese yen strengthened further following an upbeat Tokyo CPI reading above 2%, reinforcing expectations of a potential BoJ rate hike. USD/JPY fell below the 150 level as market sentiment shifted. Meanwhile, the dollar remained subdued after Wednesday’s PCE report, with the Dollar Index retreating from the 106 mark, reflecting expectations of steady Fed policy.
PU Prime | 8 시간 54 분 전
Daily Global Market Update

Daily Global Market Update

The Euro is gaining strength, while the Yen is weakening. Gold is correcting upwards, and Alibaba stock is dipping. The Canadian dollar is recovering, but Wall Street is down. Key economic events include Canadian GDP, US inflation, Eurozone consumer confidence, and UK retail sales.
Moneta Markets | 1 일 전
Gold Decline on Easing Geopolitical Tension

Gold Decline on Easing Geopolitical Tension

The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, released yesterday, met market expectations but failed to deliver any surprises, resulting in continued weakness in the U.S. dollar. Simultaneously, long-term Treasury yields fell to their lowest levels in November.
PU Prime | 1 일 전
How Global Economic Shifts Shape November's Trading Opportunities

How Global Economic Shifts Shape November's Trading Opportunities

The U.S. economy continues to chart a path toward a "soft landing," a scenario where inflation cools without triggering a severe recession. Gradual easing in the labour market underscores this trend, with recent jobless claims figures showing minor increases yet remaining well below concerning thresholds. Businesses are largely retaining staff, indicating stable employment conditions.
ACY Securities | 1 일 전
How Low Could EUR/USD Go?

How Low Could EUR/USD Go?

In a significant market move, EUR/USD has plunged to levels not seen in over two years, driven by a combination of economic and geopolitical pressures. This sharp decline has been raising questions about the resilience of the eurozone economy and the broader implications for global currency dynamics.
ACY Securities | 1 일 전
Navigating the G3 Monetary Landscape December Brings Pivotal Decisions

Navigating the G3 Monetary Landscape December Brings Pivotal Decisions

As December approaches, global financial markets are gearing up for significant developments in the monetary policies of the world’s three major economies—the United States, the Eurozone, and Japan. A mix of rate adjustments, fiscal strategies, and macroeconomic signals is shaping the FX market, with traders and analysts keenly anticipating the outcomes.
ACY Securities | 1 일 전
All Eye on Today’s PCE

All Eye on Today’s PCE

Ahead of today’s U.S. PCE reading, most asset classes remained steady as markets await direction. A higher-than-expected reading could bolster the dollar.
PU Prime | 2 일 전