ECB Cuts Interest Rates By 25 Bps As Lagarde Airs Concern On Eurozone Growth

RTTNews | 8h 54min ago
ECB Cuts Interest Rates By 25 Bps As Lagarde Airs Concern On Eurozone Growth

(RTTNews) - The European Central Bank cut key interest rates by 25 basis points, as expected on Thursday, as policymakers assessed that the disinflation process is on track, and but they are increasingly concerned over the health of the euro area economy following some soft data released since the September policy session. The Governing Council, led by ECB President Christine Lagarde, lowered the deposit facility rate by a quarter basis point to 3.25 percent following the rate-setting session held in Ljubljana, the capital of Slovenia.

"…the decision to lower the deposit facility rate - the rate through which the Governing Council steers the monetary policy stance - is based on its updated assessment of the inflation outlook, the dynamics of underlying inflation and the strength of monetary policy transmission," the ECB said.

The central bank for the single bloc lowered rates by the same volume in September and was then widely expected to opt for a cut only in December.

However, economic data since the September session made expectations for an imminent reduction stronger. While headline inflation has slowed much, the core figure has not eased as fast as the bank would like.

Further, an increasing number of indicators such as those from the purchasing managers' survey and bank lending data have started to signal a weakening Eurozone economy, something that the central bank acknowledged in the policy statement. ECB policymakers have also started to air doubts over the resilience of the labor market.

Lagarde also expressed some concern over the recent economic data as she responded to questions from reporters during the post-decision press conference. The latest decision to lower rates was unanimous, she said.

The ECB chief clearly refused to pre-commit an easing in December, instead stressed on the data-dependency approach. Answering a question, she said the ECB has not yet completely "broken the neck of inflation". The bank is still looking at a soft landing, Lagarde said.

Policymakers will be equipped with the latest set of ECB staff macroeconomic projections in December.

The ECB left the forward guidance on interest rates unchanged this time. Policy rates will be kept sufficiently restrictive for as long as necessary to bring euro area inflation back to the 2 percent target, the ECB said.

"The Governing Council will continue to follow a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determining the appropriate level and duration of restriction," the bank said.

"The Governing Council is not pre-committing to a particular rate path," the bank reiterated.

ING economist Carsten Brzeski said the decision to cut rates only five weeks after the last cut and with only very few pieces of economic data since then, suggests that the ECB must have become much more concerned about the eurozone's growth outlook and the risk of inflation undershooting the target.

The latest rate cut can be seen as a signal that the ECB is now in a hurry to bring interest rates down to a more neutral level, the economist added.

Capital Economics economist Jack Allen-Reynolds said the data released over the next weeks are likely to support 25 basis points rate cuts at each of the next few meetings, at the very least.

read more
Eurozone Trade Surplus Falls Sharply On Weak Exports

Eurozone Trade Surplus Falls Sharply On Weak Exports

Eurozone trade surplus declined notably in August due to the fall in exports, official data showed on Thursday. Exports decreased 2.4 percent on a yearly basis, in contrast to the 9.4 percent increase in July, Eurostat reported. Likewise, imports dropped 2.3 percent after prior month's 3.6 percent gain.
RTTNews | 10h 56min ago
Eurozone Inflation Eases To 1.7% In September

Eurozone Inflation Eases To 1.7% In September

Eurozone inflation eased slightly more than initially estimated in September, raising expectations for a quarter point rate cut by the European Central Bank later today. The harmonized index of consumer prices posted an annual increase of 1.7 percent, which was revised down from 1.8 percent estimated on October 1, final data from Eurostat showed on Thursday.
RTTNews | 12h 50min ago
Eurozone Industrial Output Recovers In August

Eurozone Industrial Output Recovers In August

Eurozone industrial production recovered in August largely due to the rebound in capital goods and durable consumer goods output, data from Eurostat showed on Tuesday. Industrial output posted a monthly growth of 1.8 percent in August, reversing July's 0.5 percent decline. The growth came in line with expectations.
RTTNews | 2 days ago
German Economic Sentiment Strengthens In October

German Economic Sentiment Strengthens In October

German economic confidence strengthened for the first time four months in October as financial market experts expect more interest rate cuts amid slowing inflation, survey results from the think tank ZEW showed Tuesday. The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment rose to 13.1 from 3.6 in September. The score was above the expected level of 10.2.
RTTNews | 2 days ago
German Trade Surplus Increases As Exports Rise Unexpectedly, Imports Fall

German Trade Surplus Increases As Exports Rise Unexpectedly, Imports Fall

Germany's trade surplus increased in August on an unexpected increase in exports amid a bigger-than-expected decline in imports, official data showed on Wednesday. Exports posted a monthly growth of 1.3 percent in August following July's 1.7 percent increase, Destatis reported. This was the second consecutive increase. Shipments were forecast to fall 1.0 percent.
RTTNews | 8 days ago
German Construction PMI Rises To 16-Month High

German Construction PMI Rises To 16-Month High

Germany's construction sector activity contracted at the slowest pace in 16 months in September, survey results from S&P Global showed on Friday. The construction Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 41.7 from 38.9 in the previous month. This was the highest since May 2023. However, the score remained below 50.0, indicating contraction.
RTTNews | 13 days ago
Eurozone Private Sector Contracts For First Time In 7 Months

Eurozone Private Sector Contracts For First Time In 7 Months

The euro area private sector shrank for the first time in seven months in September as Germany, France and Italy recorded contractions simultaneously for the first time in 2024 so far, data compiled by S&P Global showed on Thursday. The final HCOB composite output index fell to 49.6 in September from a three-month high of 51.0 in August. The flash score was 48.9.
RTTNews | 14 days ago
Eurozone Inflation Falls Below 2% Target

Eurozone Inflation Falls Below 2% Target

Eurozone inflation fell below the 2 percent target for the first time in more than three years in September, signaling faster interest rate cuts from the European Central Bank. The harmonized index of consumer prices posted an annual increase of 1.8 percent compared to a 2.2 percent rise in August, flash data from Eurostat showed Tuesday.
RTTNews | 16 days ago