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natchos2
three
在
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中
Apr 30, 2010 at 13:44
Winst,1st point about lot%At lot 4% you have 4x less wiggle room than at 1%. So our tolerance for pain will be minimal here, ie any big move will wipe us out. Our "black swan" events are random, in 2008 for example we see more volatility in EURCHF, and get about 4 or 5 of these events throughout the year. 2009 is great and 2010 conditions are similar if not more flat than 2009.The only way to really find out is to test test test test. Backtest wise price channel stop doesn't work too well, at least with the settings I've tried. Even if you filter out 2 bad trades to 1 good tr...
three
在
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中
Apr 29, 2010 at 14:07
Best time to start this setup is when markets are closed on sunday, just a heads up
three
在
交易系統
中
Apr 28, 2010 at 15:07
There was a post i made on the SSS thread that talks a lot about the theory behind this, its a long post but worth the readI've come to the conclusion that a 1:3 ratio is ideal. So for example a lot size of 1% and a global TP of 3% etc.... I've stretched this to 2.5 and 7.5 on EURCHF without wiping in from Jan to Dec 2009.I can tell you right off the bat the GU, EU, UJ, UCAD and AudUSD pairs will wipe pretty quickly. The loosing batches also have a cumulative effect on lot size and TPI'm not super familiar with Steve's trade manager, I've played around with it however... Le...
three
在
交易系統
中
Apr 27, 2010 at 14:30
Look this thing is not "safe" at all. In fact it will wipe eventually (like all EA's), the thing is the probability of at least doubling your money before it wipes is pretty high; in current market conditions this should quadruple before a "black swan" event.If you can find any other pair that's "stable" like EURCHF, go ahead and backtest for it. I'd like to know how it turns outOne idea i had that would be interesting it to go SHORT only on EURAUD and run it kind of like a swing trader
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