Diminishing Great Britain retail sales

Expert market comment from Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: Diminishing Great Britain retail sales
FxPro | 910天前

Diminishing Great Britain retail sales

 

As if the political storm hitting the UK was not enough, macroeconomic data is also not encouraging markets, adding pressure to the country's assets. GBPUSD is losing more than 1.4% since the start of the day on Friday, back below 1.1060, losing 2.4% from Thursday's peak on news of Liz Truss stepping down as prime minister.

Great Britain retail sales for September were down 1.4%, and down 1.5% excluding fuel, after falling 1.7% a month earlier. Sales were down 10% from their April 2021 peak and 10.7% ex-fuel, having lost for almost the whole of the last year and a half.

Falling consumer activity makes it harder for the Bank of England to find a balance sheet. Today's disappointing sales data is a strong case for the monetary dove camp. The weakness in the economy, as seen through the prism of falling sales and industrial production, can deter the Bank of England from raising its key rate more decisively, which is harmful to the Pound.

Should GBPUSD fall below 1.09 in the coming days, a retest of the 1.03-1.05 historic low area will be an issue, even though recently it seemed that the worst for the Pound is over.

 

By the FxPro Analyst Team

规则: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
read more
ATFX Market Outlook 17th April 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 17th April 2025

U.S. March retail sales saw their most significant increase over two years as households boosted purchases to counter tariff-related price hikes. Despite Federal Reserve Chairman Powell noting a slowdown in economic growth and denying a "Fed put," traders are betting on a potential one-percentage-point rate cut starting in June.
ATFX | 1天前
ATFX Market Outlook 16th April 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 16th April 2025

U.S. import prices in March fell unexpectedly due to lower energy costs, signalling easing inflation ahead of Trump's tariff policies. Despite robust bank earnings, U.S. stocks closed slightly lower amid uncertainties surrounding tariffs, with the Dow down 0.38%, the S&P 500 down 0.17%, and the Nasdaq declining.
ATFX | 2天前
Continued Trade Tensions Steer Markets: April 15, 2025

Continued Trade Tensions Steer Markets: April 15, 2025

Global financial markets are navigating a complex landscape on April 15, 2025, as US President Donald Trump’s tariff exemptions on tech and auto sectors spark a cautious risk-on sentiment, while escalating US-China trade tensions—marked by China’s 125% retaliatory tariffs against the US’s 145% duties—fuel recession fears.
Moneta Markets | 3天前
ATFX Market Outlook 15th April 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 15th April 2025

The New York Fed's March survey indicated rising short-term inflation expectations and low consumer confidence. Federal Reserve Governor Waller mentioned that Trump's tariff policies could force rate cuts to prevent a recession despite high inflation.
ATFX | 3天前
ATFX Market Outlook 14th April 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 14th April 2025

U.S. stocks surged on Friday as major banks began reporting Q1 earnings, concluding a volatile week marked by trade tensions. All three major indices recorded substantial weekly gains, with the S&P 500 and Dow experiencing their largest rebound since November 2023. However, consumer confidence declined in April to its lowest level in nearly three years, while inflation expectations surged.
ATFX | 4天前