USDCAD doubts September’s upturn

USDCAD trims September’s uptick to trade near key trendline. Technical signals are mixed; a break below 1.3480 could shift the bias to the downside. US & Canadian employment figures due at 12:30. GMT
XM Group | 79 дней спустя

 

USDCAD started Friday’s NFP session with soft negative momentum after a stagnant day, which prevented the pair from examining its weekly high of 1.3564.

While the technical indicators have barely shown any improvement, there is still a chance for a positive turnaround as long as the RSI maintains its rebound off its 30 oversold level and the MACD holds above its red signal line. Encouragingly, the price itself seems to have created a green doji candlestick on Thursday, but the candlestick pattern still needs confirmation.

A decisive close below 1.3480 and beneath the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the December-July upleg could renew selling pressures. If the 1.3437 low gives way as well, the price could dive towards the  50% Fibonacci of 1.3360 and the support trendline, which connects the lows from July and December 2023 seen at 1.3300. Another move lower could shift the spotlight the 1.3200-1.3225 constraining zone.

If there is some bullish action on the other hand, there could be an initial retest of the 50% Fibonacci level at 1.3560, which has been a barrier for bullish activity earlier this week. Then, strong buying will be necessary for the pair to overcome the 1.3585 region, the flattening 200-day SMA, and ultimately reach the 38.2% Fibonacci mark of 1.3650. Even higher, a tougher battle could take place between 1.3700 and the 23.6% Fibonacci of 1.3763.

In brief, USDCAD is in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the US and Canadian jobs data. A sustainable decline below 1.3480 could heighten negative risks.

Регулирование: CySEC (Cyprus), ASIC (Australia), FSC (Belize), DFSA (UAE), FSCA (South Africa)
read more
Week Ahead Anticipate Volatility from U.S. Elections and FOMC Meeting

Week Ahead Anticipate Volatility from U.S. Elections and FOMC Meeting

The markets are on edge with the impending U.S. presidential election and FOMC meeting. These events are major drivers of potential volatility, especially across FX markets and interest rate-sensitive sectors, as traders and investors await critical decisions and possible shifts in economic policy. Let’s break down the anticipated impacts of each factor.
ACY Securities | 19 дней спустя
Daily Global Market Update

Daily Global Market Update

EUR/USD declined slightly, USD/JPY strengthened, gold dropped sharply, Amazon shares fell, USD/CAD weakened due to a Bank of Canada rate cut, Wall Street declined due to rising yields and skepticism about Fed rate cuts, corporate news affected McDonald's and Coca-Cola, and US existing home sales hit a 14-year low.
Moneta Markets | 31 дней спустя
U.S Dollar Jumps on Heightens Treasury Yield

U.S Dollar Jumps on Heightens Treasury Yield

The U.S. dollar has continued to strengthen against major currencies, supported by a sharp rise in long-term Treasury yields, which have reached their highest level since July. The market appears to be pricing in a soft landing by the Federal Reserve, particularly as the U.S. presidential election nears.
PU Prime | 32 дней спустя