Daily Global Market Update – 7th March, 2025

NZD/USD: Testing Key Support LevelsThe New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against the US Dollar (USD) is under scrutiny as it approaches a critical support level near 0.5700, aligning closely with its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Analysts suggest that this level could act as a pivotal point for the “Kiwi,” with a potential retest signaling either a consolidation or a deeper bearish move depending on broader market sentiment and the upcoming US employment data. The pair’s direction remains uncertain, but traders are watching closely for any breakout or reversal cues. 

Pound Sterling: Resilience Ahead of US DataThe Pound Sterling (GBP) is holding firm against the US Dollar, maintaining its recent gains as markets brace for the US NFP report. This resilience comes despite global uncertainties, including ongoing trade war fears, with GBP/USD buoyed by a softer US Dollar. Investors are optimistic that the employment figures could further influence the pair, potentially reinforcing Sterling’s strength if the data disappoints and weakens the USD further. 

US Dollar: Retreat ContinuesThe US Dollar is experiencing sustained downward pressure, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) breaking below the 104.00 mark. This decline coincides with falling US Treasury yields, reflecting market anticipation of the NFP data, which could either exacerbate or reverse this trend. A weaker-than-expected jobs report might fuel expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve stance, adding to the USD’s retreat, while a strong report could provide some relief to the beleaguered currency. 

Gold: Rebounding Amid USD WeaknessGold prices are staging a recovery, climbing from sub-$2,900 levels to hover above this threshold. The rebound is supported by persistent USD selling and heightened concerns over a potential global trade war, which are enhancing gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. With the NFP data on the horizon, gold’s trajectory remains sensitive to shifts in US economic indicators and investor risk appetite, though its current momentum suggests bullish sentiment in the near term. 

Broader Market ContextThe forex market is in a state of cautious flux, with the US Dollar’s ongoing retreat setting the tone for other major currencies and assets. The interplay between falling Treasury yields, trade war anxieties, and the looming NFP release is keeping traders on edge. While the Pound Sterling holds steady and gold gains traction, the NZD/USD pair’s proximity to key technical levels underscores the market’s delicate balance.