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KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 16, 2014 at 09:11
The manual is wrong, I posted this earlier. I recommend running backtests with any EA that you purchase before running it on an account. This will show you how the risk calculations work. When I saw they didn't match what the manual said I queried it with Jared. The post is a few pages back.With regards to the 60 day money back guarantee. In three years of backtesting only once was there two losing months in a row. However starting on four of the months out of 35 you would have ended up with a net loss after two months. All the others would end up in profit.Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 12, 2014 at 13:32
Sounds interesting and probably something that could be coded.Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 12, 2014 at 12:26
Sorry, sometimes I come across as brusque. I'm not saying they are specifically hunting Keltner stops. The more successful a commercial EA becomes the more people buy it ( even though they always claim to be limited sales - this is just a marketing ploy ). The more people buy it, the more impact it has on the order books and consequently the more likely it is to be targeted. Successful systems change markets and suddenly the backtesting that your system was built on is invalid.The market makers are here to make money out of the markets just like we are and it's a net zero sum game with...
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 12, 2014 at 00:00
I recommend you read this and then maybe take a moment of quiet reflection to consider the implications to commercially released EA's.http://www.managementtoday.co.uk/go/news/article/1283997/a-beginners-guide-forex-riggingSince this investigation started some opinions on forums stopped being opinions and became cold, hard facts.Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 11, 2014 at 09:34
I'm open to suggestions, although my gut tells me there aren't any free, efficient EA's out there. Personally I'm not bothered that it will stop working, it's the nature of trading. Providing you run a diversified portfolio failures aren't an issue.Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 11, 2014 at 08:55
I know it will fail at some point. Haven't seen a commercial EA that didn't fail yet. The trick will be spotting when it has failed. A hidden stop loss will extend it's life span in my opinion.Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 10, 2014 at 14:16
Check your log. It should tell you what happened. If not ask your broker.Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 09, 2014 at 13:09
You can't. We'll pretend it never happened ;)Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 09, 2014 at 11:23
My guess would be he's using the old "Jump on the most popular threads to promote my own stuff" trick.Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 08, 2014 at 10:05
I suggest you read up on the current legal proceedings the big banks are going through with regards to colluding to fix the currency markets. If you read into it far enough you'll discover that one of the things they were accused of is stop chasing. In reality as aagarcia says, they aren't targeting us and our stops, it's nothing personal. Our stop losses are showing on order books as a large volume of people looking to "sell" their open positions at that price. If the banks feel they can then make a profit on those orders then they are going to "buy" them off u...
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 04, 2014 at 14:32
That does look like a stop hunt, a few previous ones have looked like stop hunts but that EurUsd trade looked especially like one. Really wish this EA would have used a hidden stop loss. It takes the market makers a little longer to figure things out then.Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 03, 2014 at 16:24
I've only completed the backtest for EurUsd so far but I'm not seeing January and February as poor months to trade EurUsd. I'm not sure which data you are looking at.Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 03, 2014 at 10:41
I'm in the process of testing all pairs for the last three years, after which I will aggregate the results and analyse. Unfortunately Keltner is a slow backtest so it will take most of this week to do.I can see from the EurUsd that in the couple of weeks around Christmas for 2013/2014 - EurUsd lost 11.46%2012/2013 - EurUsd lost 9.4%2011/2012 - EurUsd, this was a weird one as Christmas fell at the weekend. The two week period didn't trade, a three week period made a gain.Now, if you look at December 1st 2013 till December 22nd 2013 EurUsd made 9.07%.So, there's no rush to make a dec...
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 03, 2014 at 10:06
I'm in the process of generating backtesting for all the pairs for this purpose. I can tell you that for EurUsd the last three years in January it made money and in December the EurUsd generally makes money. Certainly can't see any reason to turn that pair off. The whole "stop trading in certain months" is a bit of a myth in my experience. Don't trade in December/January. Sell in May and Go Away Don't trade around tax year end.Before you know it you are not trading for around half the year.Open up a weekly EurUsd chart, add a short term ATR and a volume indicator. The...
REV Trader PRO REAL
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 02, 2014 at 10:50
You can calculate it yourself. Use the custom analysis > Symbol selection.Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Dec 01, 2014 at 09:05
My use of historical data in this thread implicitly means I don't ignore the past, something I didn't say. I was saying that you need to look at historical performance and then consider what could happen in the future. Look at the figures - a 16 trades losing streak ( which we've seen ) would have blown the account at the risk the account started with.I'd also just like to clear something up. When we're talking about percentage risk. I'm talking about percentage risk, i.e. the percentage I'm risking based on the calculation I've made for each pair based on my se...
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Nov 30, 2014 at 10:18
The biggest losing run on this account is 16 trades. Take those 16 trades and put them at the start, at the risk the account was running at then and they would have generated a loss of $8375 which would have wiped the account.The reason the account is over leveraged at the start is because EA marketers run multiple accounts and the ones that work get marketed. It's the best way to rise to the top of MyFxBook which at the end of the day is their prime sales pitch.You're reasoning is flawed if you are looking at what this account did historically. Look at what it could do in the future t...
REV Trader PRO REAL
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Nov 28, 2014 at 13:30
5% per trade?Provided you're happy to accept a possible 25% loss on your account. Which historically is what you could be faced with.Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Nov 28, 2014 at 12:41
8% risk per trade? That will blow your account at some point. The maximum lost on one trade on this account is 3.85%. Best regards Steve
KeltnerPRO - Jared
in
Tirdzniecības sistēmas
Nov 20, 2014 at 09:34
Just run a backtest, analyse and decide what your risk appetite is.Best regards Steve
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